The Flow Report
Live IntelligenceCommodity intelligence · Vessel tracking · Physics-informed analytics · Spatial intelligence
193.0M positions70k vessels·76 engines
72 reports
Recurring Figure
Congestion Tracker
Recurring figure: where queue pressure is distorting commodity flows right now.
Columbia River leads with 57.7h median wait and 44 vessels waiting.
🔍AnalysisOct 9, 2026·4 min read
A Single Cape Town Cell Logged 74,515 AIS Positions in 30 Days. 83.8% Came From Vessels Classified 'Other.'
A Cape Town anchorage cell logged 74,515 AIS positions in 30 days — 83.8% from vessels classified 'other,' nearly double the network's already-elevated 43.9% baseline....
2026-10-09as of88ad36153bfffffh3 indexCape Town, South Africa (Table Bay)geography30window days
VESSEL-DENSITYH3-HEX-CELLSCAPE-TOWNVESSEL-TYPE-CLASSIFICATIONAIS-POSITIONS
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🔍Analysis
Norfolk's Hydrostatic Cargo Reads Run 46.3% High-Confidence. The Network Average Is 27.4%.
Norfolk's hydrostatic cargo reads clear the high-confidence bar at 1.69x the network rate — and a third of that lift rests on a three-cell density base.
Oct 6, 2026·4 min
CARGO-ESTIMATIONHYDROSTATIC-CARGO
🔍Analysis
43,834 Commercial-Manager Assignments. Zero Have Ever Closed.
43,834 commercial-manager assignments, three months of ingestion, zero closures — while the graph's ownership edges close at 8.93%.
Oct 6, 2026·4 min
TEMPORAL-EDGESCOMMERCIAL-MANAGER
Archive
1,132 Fraudulent-Documentation Alerts in 30 Days, Every One at Maximum Confidence. None Has Ever Been Reviewed.
MOTIF-ALERTSFRAUDULENT-DOCUMENTATION
Sep 29, 2026Los Angeles/Long Beach Approach Encounters Deviate From Rule 17 63.2% of the Time — 15 Points Above the Global Approach-Zone Baseline
PAIRWISE-ENCOUNTERRULE17
Sep 29, 202663,332 Impossible-Kinematics Dark Events Carry No Risk Tier. Their Anomaly Score Beats the Critical Tier's.
DARK-EVENTSIMPOSSIBLE-KINEMATICS
Sep 25, 2026GNSS Spoof Risk Scoring Went Quiet on August 17. 585 Events Later, It Still Hasn't.
DARK-EVENTSGNSS-SPOOF
Sep 18, 2026443 Baltimore Vessel Visits Carry a "High Confidence" Cargo Estimate. 296 of Them Are Zero.
CARGO-ESTIMATIONHYDROSTATIC-CARGO
Sep 11, 2026Persian Gulf Interior Runs the Highest-Confidence Approach Encounters in the Rule 17 Dataset. Its Deviation Rate Is a Third of Rotterdam's.
PAIRWISE-ENCOUNTERRULE17
Sep 8, 202643,249 ISM Manager Assignments. Two-Thirds of the Tracked Fleet. Zero Have Ever Closed.
TEMPORAL-EDGESISM-MANAGER
Sep 8, 20261,333 Vessel Renames Since April. Zero Have Ever Been Flagged as Obfuscation.
RENAMED-TOTEMPORAL-GRAPH
Sep 4, 202661,158 AIS Dark-Manipulation Alerts in 90 Days Touch 20,690 Vessels. The Adjudication Field Has Never Been Set — Not Once, Across All 134,967 Motif Alerts.
AIS-MANIPULATION-DARKMOTIF-ALERTS
Aug 28, 20261,824 Nav-Status Dark Events in 90 Days. Critical-Tier Gaps Average 20.9 Hours — Shorter Than Medium-Tier's 35.1. The Anomaly Score Barely Moves.
DARK-EVENTSNAV-STATUS
Aug 21, 2026AIS Position Spoofing Alerts Jumped from 72 a Week to 6,338 in Four Weeks. Every One Filed at Maximum Confidence. None Has Been Reviewed.
AIS-MANIPULATION-SPOOFMOTIF-ALERTS
Aug 19, 2026The Top 1% of Global Vessel-Traffic Hexagons Carry 45.8% of All AIS Positions. Eleven of the Busiest Fifteen Sit Within One Estuary Complex on the Dutch and Belgian Coast.
VESSEL-DENSITYH3-HEX-CELLS
Aug 19, 2026Grain Is 52.2% of All Cargo Calls in Overwatch. Its Low-Confidence Rate Is 5.4x Every Other Commodity Combined.
PROBABLE-COMMODITYCOMMODITY-CLASSIFICATION
Aug 14, 2026864 Vessel Identity Reassignments Since April. Every One Flagged as Obfuscation. None Has Closed.
MMSI-CHANGEDTEMPORAL-GRAPH
Aug 12, 2026Anchorages Have the Highest Rule 17 Deviation Rate of Any Encounter Context — 52.8%, Ahead of Open Sea's 48.2%.
PAIRWISE-ENCOUNTERRULE17
Aug 12, 2026Ship-to-Ship Transfer Filed 35,377 Max-Confidence Alerts in 90 Days. It Has Not Fired Once in the Last 26.
SHIP-TO-SHIP-TRANSFERMOTIF-ALERTS
Aug 7, 202637,656 Vessels Have One Flag Assignment Each. None Has Ever Closed. OWNED_BY Records Close at 8.3%. The Flag-State Layer Has No History.
FLAGGED-ASTEMPORAL-GRAPH
Aug 7, 2026Recent Departures
ALISIOSBaltimore · bulk_unknown
53ktWOOLLOOMOOLOONewcastle · coal
48ktDARYA RASHMISantos · grain
27ktENERGY GLORYGladstone · coal
54ktXIN LIAN YUN GANGHamburg · grain
15ktMADREDEUSGladstone · coal
54kt